Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 2/5/24
| 2:00 |
: Hey all people, welcome to the chat
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| 2:01 |
: I’ve been fairly dangerous about these this yr due to a mixture of technical difficulties on my finish after which simply getting out of the behavior of it, however let’s kick issues again off with a great one
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| 2:01 |
: Hi Ben – might you share your ideas on the present state of the Red Sox?
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| 2:01 |
: I’m confused about what their plans are, however I feel on the whole they’re taking part in for the long run and I feel that’s affordable
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| 2:02 |
: It’s not *enjoyable* to do this as a workforce just like the Red Sox, however I feel the best way theyr’e doing it’s sensible
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| 2:02 |
: They might be aggressive this yr for positive, however with that rotation, they want a great variety of issues to go proper to make the playoffs
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| 2:03 |
: I feel that’s okay, significantly since they’re attempting out a number of attention-grabbing new lineup additions and have a formidable farm system that’s beginning to trickle as much as the main league stage
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| 2:03 |
: I feel that in the event that they didn’t signal one of many few large ticket pitching choices this yr, punting their free company strikes till subsequent yr made sense
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| 2:03 |
: Am I loopy to suppose the Cubs have a nonzero probability at signing each Belli and Chapman? One on an extended deal, one on the next AAV quick deal a la Correa’s first Twins contract?
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| 2:04 |
: Nonzero, for positive. I don’t suppose it’s THAT excessive, although, simply because I don’t see them spending that a lot
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| 2:05 |
: I feel it might make sense provided that the Brewers are principally betting that the Central received’t be powerful this yr
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| 2:05 |
: they’ve already downgraded on function to enhance future years, it’s not like they’ll un-trade Burnes now
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| 2:05 |
: looks as if it’d be a great time to pivot because the Cubs nevertheless it’s a type of I’ll imagine it after I see it kinda offers
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| 2:05 |
: What’s for lunch?
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| 2:05 |
: oh man, it’s a great one this time. Homemade broccoli soften on focaccia
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| 2:06 |
: Dynasty Keeper League Correa or Neto (wanting primairly on the subsequent couple seasons)
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| 2:06 |
: I’d preserve Correa however not by a ton
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| 2:06 |
: Can you give me any cause for hope for my Nationals? Every time I learn information concerning the workforce it’s concerning the homeowners not promoting, MASN dispute, Strasburg/proprietor battle, and even prospects like Hassell and Green flaming out. If you squint is there any hope with Abrams/Gore/Gray/Wood/Crews?
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| 2:07 |
: Yeah I feel the hope is principally: Abrams has been higher than anticipated. Crews appears superior. Wood regarded fairly good in AA as a 20 yr outdated
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| 2:07 |
: possibly this large group of prospects will pan out spectacularly
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| 2:07 |
: I do suppose that the workforce must get offered, looks as if the Lerners have moved on mentally
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| 2:08 |
: And possibly all of the Alexandria area stuff is creating the sort of distraction that retains different DC space enterprise sorts away from bidding on the Nats which slows issues down? Not actually positive if that’s the case or not
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| 2:08 |
: But the upside case right here is that simply as all of the expertise from their farm system hits the majors, there’s new possession in place that may’t wait to spend
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| 2:08 |
: Since they have already got Brent Rooker, I feel the A’s ought to simply get as many Mississippi State guys as they’ll and play in Starkville till Vegas is prepared. At least it might be enjoyable.
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| 2:08 |
: Seems about as palatable as most of their choices.
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| 2:09 |
: I ponder in the event that they’d think about taking part in on the rec league softball area the place I play
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| 2:09 |
: it’s not THAT a lot worse of a taking part in floor than the Coliseum
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| 2:09 |
: oh, apart from in case you neglect to get town to show off the nighttime sprinkler schedule, then the third baseman may get soaked
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| 2:09 |
: IN 2 years Max Scherzer is ?
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| 2:09 |
: If Kyle Hendricks has an honest (~150 innings, barely above common period) season, would you give him the QO?
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| 2:09 |
: But I might see it both approach
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| 2:10 |
: Am I loopy in considering that if a couple of issues break proper for the Reds this yr, Cincinnati might legit take the division? They have a strong core in place, and there isn’t a dominant workforce within the NL Central.
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| 2:10 |
: I imply, are they favorites? No
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| 2:10 |
: But theyr’e within the combine for positive
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| 2:11 |
: How do you’re feeling about Ben Lindbergh and your editor Meg Rowley referring to you as “The Other Ben” on my favourite podcast, Effectively Wild?
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| 2:11 |
: Haha I feel it’s very affordable
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| 2:11 |
: I listened to EW for a very long time earlier than I began writing about baseball so it’s nonetheless kinda surreal listening to my identify come up in any respect
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| 2:12 |
: Follow-up to the Red Sox and Brewers/Cubs questions earlier: to what extent are groups’ choices to rebuild or go all-in depending on the selections of different groups of their division? Are the Red Sox retooling partially as a result of, someday within the final yr or two, they checked out remainder of the AL East and thought: “The O’s are about to get good, the Jays, Rays, and Yanks are already good. Good time to retool.” Did the Brewers have a look at the remainder of the NL Central and suppose “Good time to trade Burnes; the Cardinals are retooling and the Cubs don’t look they want to spend money yet”?
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| 2:12 |
: If groups aren’t doing that, they’re doing it unsuitable, however I undoubtedly imagine that it enters their minds
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| 2:13 |
: I’m unsure if it’s a fundamental driver of choices or something, however groups completely take divisional problem and the form of future groups into consideration
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| 2:13 |
: I feel it’s kinda powerful in Boston’s case b/c let’s be actual, the ALE goes to be a buzzsaw of a division in 5 years identical to it’s now
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| 2:14 |
: however Milwaukee has carried out a reasonably good job of being opportunistic and pivoting round what’s occurring within the central. I feel the Twins do a great job of this as effectively. The Diamondbacks getting extra aggressive this offseason is one other good instance
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| 2:14 |
: Do projections take into consideration the OBP of the hitters in entrance of them?
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| 2:14 |
: Definitely not
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| 2:14 |
: We missed you Ben. Looking ahead to an awesome 2024 season. That being stated, curious to know what about baseball will get you jazzed up probably the most?
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| 2:14 |
: I looooooove defensive highlights
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| 2:15 |
: I’m actually excited for a yr of Masyn Winn
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| 2:15 |
: Surprised on the Witt extension?
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| 2:15 |
: Chances the Witt contract is backloaded, given the decide outs included?
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| 2:15 |
: I’m a little bit stunned I assume, however I’ve been the low man on Witt for a very long time and I’m fairly positive I nonetheless underrate him at the same time as I preserve attempting to replace my priors
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| 2:15 |
: I want a little bit extra time for it to sink in
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| 2:15 |
: Any rumors or insights on Blake Snell’s potential touchdown spot?
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| 2:15 |
: Does the Giants’ commerce of Ross (“Chicken Strip”) Stripling portend some motion on the free agent market? Seems like they beautiful a lot should exit and signal a number of SPs, proper? And they’d look much more aggressive for a wild card spot if in addition they have been capable of signal Chapman.
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| 2:16 |
: I feel that Snell to SF seems to be extra seemingly with buying and selling Stripling
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| 2:16 |
: it’d simply be a bizarre transfer to make in case you weren’t planning on backfilling, even when:
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| 2:16 |
: All of his stats and peripherals counsel Keaton Winn is the following Logan Webb. Am I out of my thoughts for considering he’s an enormous underdog in that rotation?
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| 2:16 |
: I undoubtedly don’t agree with this take!
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| 2:16 |
: But if Winn is nice
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| 2:17 |
: That would assist
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| 2:17 |
: Seriously, although: Logan Webb completely demolished the minors at each cease
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| 2:18 |
: Then he reached the majors at 22. Winn scuffled in AA and AAA over the past two years at 24 and 25
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| 2:18 |
: I feel that he’s intriguing for positive, however I don’t see him as a lot of a comp for Webb
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| 2:18 |
: I used to be provided Francisco Alvarez and Eury Perez for Jordan Walker. No brainer proper? I’ve to take it.
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| 2:19 |
: i don’t know your league settings or something
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| 2:19 |
: Who has a greater season this yr amongst these 30 somethings, E. Suarez, M. Chapman, or Rendon?
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| 2:19 |
: I’m gonna take Rendon actdually
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| 2:19 |
: I feel that is perhaps foolish
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| 2:19 |
: however I’m kinda down on Chapman and I feel I do know what I’m getting with Suarez, which is an above common common however nothing extra
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| 2:19 |
: On a scale of Nutting to Guggenheim, what kind of proprietor do you count on Rubenstein to be?
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| 2:19 |
: I feel above common however not Cohen/Guggenheim tier by any means
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| 2:20 |
: I get the lol personal fairness argument, however folks have been making that about Peter Seidler too
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| 2:20 |
: rising up within the space issues loads
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| 2:21 |
: and whenever you take over a workforce at 74, and also you’re simply wildly rich, why would you not wish to make it good?
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| 2:21 |
: @Feinsand
Bobby Witt Jr.’s extension: 2024: $2M Club choice 3 years/$89M: |
| 2:21 |
: Yeah, it is a good construction for Witt
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| 2:22 |
: I like these sorts of extensions a LOT, I really feel like we’ve gotten to a spot the place groups and gamers can negotiate early-career extensions with out them being excessively one-sided (in both route)
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| 2:22 |
: Who you bought difficult the Twins this yr for the central Tigers or CLE? I feel each of them are sort of sneaky attention-grabbing and Twins pitching depth doesn’t persuade me
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| 2:22 |
: I like what they’ve been doing
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| 2:23 |
: Imagine them with Isaac Paredes (probably not nevertheless it’s simply enjoyable to maintain pointing that one out)
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| 2:23 |
: Does it actually make sense for the cubs to signal me to any kind of long run deal, even when it is available in with a decrease AAV than boras needs?
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| 2:23 |
: In my opinion? Absolutely
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| 2:25 |
: Twins followers in all places tremendous excited to see the promise to reinvest the Polanco financial savings has netted them….a 37 yr outdated DH
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| 2:25 |
: Given the scale of the financial savings, I’m unsure what you anticipated
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| 2:26 |
: That stated, I feel it’s a reasonably sensible transfer
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| 2:26 |
: The Twins don’t spend as a lot as I’d like them to
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| 2:26 |
: however I really feel like few groups do a greater job of profitable trades with out donig the entire ‘we’ll commerce you 1 / 4 at the moment for 4 dime-level prospects’ deal the place you possibly can’t assist however win
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| 2:27 |
: and I feel that in addition they do a great job of then integrating these trades into their workforce
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| 2:27 |
: I like the place they’re headed principally
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| 2:27 |
: Padres actually going to fill their OF/DH spots with NRI sorts and prospects which have barely performed above A ball and might be out of place?
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| 2:27 |
: It undoubtedly seems to be that approach!
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| 2:27 |
: Doesn’t actually really feel like a recipe to success for me
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| 2:27 |
: Witt or Tatis on their present contracts, who would you slightly have?
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| 2:27 |
: I’d take Tatis however I wager you most individuals would take Witt
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| 2:27 |
: Could you elaborate on why you’re the low man on Witt?
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| 2:28 |
: A whole lot of it comes all the way down to probably not trusting his method on the plate
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| 2:28 |
: He’s an outstanding hitter and athlete however I feel his pitch recognition might be a 40 or so
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| 2:29 |
: and that simply places a TON of stress on his bat pace/bat management
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| 2:29 |
: it’s actually laborious to have a swing profile like his and hit for energy with out putting out loads
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| 2:30 |
: possibly he can do it, once more he’s a premium expertise, however to actually be a star with out a full offensive overhaul he has to maintain placing up these wonderful numbers on contact and in addition add worth along with his protection and legs
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| 2:30 |
: legs are a given, I’m undoubtedly much less offered on protection
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| 2:31 |
: Statcast had him as top-of-the-line shortstops in baseball a yr after being one of many worst, DRS thinks he went from abysmal to dangerous, Prospectus agrees with DRS
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| 2:32 |
: Have you guys thought of spending much less time on the cutesy-poo headlines and extra time writing higher articles?
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| 2:32 |
: Thought about it, determined to not
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| 2:33 |
: My regular workflow is 10 hours a day on headlines after which I bang out the article in quarter-hour
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| 2:33 |
: What to count on of Eury Perez in 2024?
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| 2:33 |
: I count on him to be a prime pitcher whose innings are restricted
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| 2:33 |
: If you have been the Orioles, Who would you attempt to lock as much as an extension first: Adley, Gunnar or Burnes?
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| 2:33 |
: you realize, I at all times thought JJ Hardy’s ghost can be a Brewers fan
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| 2:33 |
: however Gunnar for me
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| 2:33 |
: by the narrowest of margins forward of Adley
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| 2:34 |
: I feel that in all probability what is going to occur is that one or each of them say no and so they transfer on to Burnes
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| 2:34 |
: who may additionally say no
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| 2:34 |
: All of what you stated concerning the Twins makes it much more infuriating that they don’t spend
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| 2:34 |
: It’s sort of laborious to select something however the Tigers for that given how little the Guardians have carried out this offseason. Dead even by their requirements.
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| 2:34 |
: Truly superb how little the Guardians have carried out
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| 2:34 |
: what do you consider volpe going into yr 2? suppose folks aren’t actually partaking with how dangerous he was in yr 1 even by rookie requirements, however unsure how a lot enchancment to count on. seems like anybody projecting him for a leap is setting themselves as much as be underwhelmed
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| 2:36 |
: I don’t actually agree with this; I feel that the streakiness of his season made it really feel worse than it was. I additionally be ok with his protection, which makes it loads simpler to tolerate some weak spot offensively
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| 2:37 |
: Projection methods have him as roughly a median hitter this yr largely due to some enhancements in strikeout charge, which is sensible to me
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| 2:37 |
: and as a 3 win participant give or take
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| 2:37 |
: lots of that can come all the way down to non-hitting components of his recreation for positive
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| 2:37 |
: Do the Yankees circle again to Snell or are they carried out for now?
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| 2:37 |
: I feel they’re carried out
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| 2:38 |
: Do you belief the yr to yr stroll of defensive metrics for infielders greater than outfielders given the upper variety of possibilities?
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| 2:38 |
: I feel that outfield likelihood is loads simpler to measure
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| 2:38 |
: I additionally suppose that defensive metrics are simply going to be unavoidably noisy
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| 2:38 |
: even in case you might measure what occurred on the sector with excellent precision, the variation in talent and sort of probability is significant
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| 2:38 |
: Am I on the block? Who’s gettin’ me and for what?
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| 2:38 |
: I’m kinda unsure on this one
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| 2:39 |
: positive, buying and selling Burnes indicators that the Brewers need to the long run
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| 2:39 |
: however they’ve at all times operated with one foot within the now and one in tomorrow
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| 2:39 |
: and the return for Adames would seemingly not be a lot greater than the comp choose they’re presumably getting for a QO
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| 2:39 |
: laborious for me to think about that their long-term pursuits are served by buying and selling him for not a lot, they nonetheless do have to make the playoffs this yr
|
| 2:40 |
: It’s the yr 2050. The icecaps have melted, and dozens of former cities at the moment are underwater.
Which members of the 2024 Atlanta Braves are within the Hall of Fame? |
| 2:40 |
: Ooh good query
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| 2:41 |
: I’ve bought: Acuna, Harris II, Strider, Riley
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| 2:41 |
: Obviously Acuna is an effective wager, the remaining are kinda crapshoots imo
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| 2:41 |
: Which workforce’s lack of spending is most infuriating?
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| 2:42 |
: It WAS the Orioles
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| 2:42 |
: gonna give them a cross for now after all
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| 2:42 |
: For me it’s the Pirates
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| 2:42 |
: they’ve stated previously that they wish to preserve payroll on the stage of gate receipts
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| 2:42 |
: Nutting have to be raking within the money over there
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| 2:42 |
: Strider for the HOF is extremely daring, proper? His odds should be beneath 20% proper now
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| 2:42 |
: Why do you suppose Riley particularly? I can see the opposite ones, however probably not Riley.
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| 2:43 |
: Do you suppose lots of the opposite gamers there are above 20%? I don’t actually
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| 2:43 |
: it’s powerful to make the corridor of fame
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| 2:43 |
: and I simply see Riley because the sort of man who will find yourself with some gaudy profession numbers in a approach that’s each old skool and new faculty pleasant
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| 2:45 |
: tons of homers at a non-1b defensive place, absolutely loads of longevity provided that he’s 2500 PA’s in at age 26, his peak may very well be actually strong
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| 2:45 |
: Do you suppose his protection will damage these possibilities?
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| 2:45 |
: no, as a result of I feel it has improved loads
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| 2:45 |
: Age 26 David Wright crushes Riley. Riley’s bought a protracted, lengthy, lengthy solution to go.
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| 2:45 |
: i’m not saying he’s 50% to make the corridor of fame even
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| 2:45 |
: however David Wright had a phenomenally unfortunate run-out on his profession
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| 2:45 |
: Everyone can agree that the Mariners budgetary restrictions are hogswallop and the workforce’s possession is embarrassing… with that being stated, am I unsuitable for considering Jerry Dipoto has put the Mariners in a reasonably strong place to reach 2024 along with his offseason maneuvering? The Polanco and Soto additions have me excited
|
| 2:46 |
: Yeah I agree with this sentiment
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| 2:46 |
: I feel given the foolish restrictions, he did fairly effectively
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| 2:46 |
: I’m not offered on the Santos commerce particularly, however I’m prepared to be satisfied
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| 2:48 |
: Hi Ben, I hope you’ve had a pleasant low season to date. I used to be questioning what your present expectations are for the Diamondbacks this season?
|
| 2:48 |
: Compete for the division and make the playoffs
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| 2:49 |
: Pick one participant from the 2015 Royals or 2016 Cubs for the Hall of Fame.
|
| 2:50 |
: Aroldis Chapman
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| 2:50 |
: man, that’s a boring choose
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| 2:50 |
: however I don’t see every other apparent ones and I might see Chapman ending up with a type of ‘yeah okay fine he was just such a key reliever for so long’ sort of issues
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| 2:50 |
: will depend on how reliever instances for HoF evolve over time clearly
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| 2:50 |
: however I don’t see every other nice choices
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| 2:50 |
: I do know the numbers aren’t fairly there, however Anthony Rizzo has Veteran’s committee written throughout him
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| 2:50 |
: He was my second selection
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| 2:50 |
: Do you suppose Theo coming again to Boston can have a major influence on the franchise transferring ahead? I’m enthusiastic about his return, however unsure how a lot management he can have.
|
| 2:50 |
: Not relaly, to be trustworthy
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| 2:51 |
: Sounds like he’s going to bop round between all of the groups within the fenway orbit and provide basic recommendation on finest practices
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| 2:51 |
: which is neat however in all probability not the knid of factor that makes you higher immediately
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| 2:51 |
: on volpe: my skepticism of his offense is on not having any hitting talent to hold his hat on. his exit velo is okay not nice, his contact charges are okay not nice, his swing choices, pitch recognition, batted ball profile all okay not nice. pulls the ball, good, however 59% grounders when he pulls, GB/FB 2.59. it’s not a profile that has one obtrusive flaw that if he addresses it, all the things else comes collectively.
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| 2:51 |
: Yeah completely honest
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| 2:52 |
: it does imply that he doesn’t have a single level of failure, however I feel his carrying instrument is simply typically swing choices and bat management given these choices
|
| 2:52 |
: which is admittedly sort of a nebulous profile
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| 2:52 |
: A whole lot of deal with the o’s this yr, and rightfully so. Who within the Al east do you suppose has the perfect probability of profitable the division apart from them?
|
| 2:52 |
: I feel the Yankees
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| 2:52 |
: But it’s going to be a very aggressive division
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| 2:54 |
: Our odds are popping out this week and I count on the Yankees to be the favourite given what the projections are sayihng proper now
|
| 2:55 |
: Just by projected WAR, which isn’t the identical as playoff odds, 4 of the 5 groups within the ALE are within the prime 11 in baseball
|
| 2:55 |
: I’d guess Jon Lester earlier than Chapman, however I agree we have to watch the place the pitching voters goes.
|
| 2:55 |
: I’d have had him third after Rizzo
|
| 2:55 |
: simply not a excessive sufficient peak for me, however I might undoubtedly be unsuitable
|
| 2:55 |
: and we’re dealing in lengthy photographs it doesn’t matter what
|
| 2:55 |
: Do you suppose it’s simpler to enhance a workforce with a stars-and-scrubs building? Seems like Verdugo and Grisham (even earlier than you account for Soto) are enormous upgrades over the Yankees negative-WAR outfielders apart from Judge from final yr whereas it’s a lot tougher for a workforce just like the Giants to make an improve like that as a result of they’re about common in all places and would wish to herald stars
|
| 2:55 |
: I completely do
|
| 2:56 |
: the Giants and Cardinals are my go-to examples of groups which have bother bettering with particular person strikes b/c they’ve already carried out so effectively on the straightforward holes to patch
|
| 2:56 |
: It’s like in case you’re attempting to extend the worth of a house by renovating it
|
| 2:56 |
: if all the things already seems to be good, it’s tougher to make a straightforward repair. If one in all your loos is 30 years outdated, effectively there you go, simply getting that factor wanting affordable will do it
|
| 2:56 |
: Riley goes into his age 27 season and he’s solely bought 15-18 WAR. Only 3 good seasons- excellent seasons, however not nice seasons. If he places up 5 WAR yearly for six extra years, by his age 32 season, he’s nonetheless beneath Wright’s profession numbers. So, he’s bought to be wholesome and constant for that lengthy after which have the ability to proceed accumulating past that. It’s loads to count on from a man who bought a late begin, just isn’t an awesome defender, and has meh plate self-discipline.
|
| 2:57 |
: The query wasn’t which gamers on the Braves are more likely to make the corridor of fame
|
| 2:57 |
: that’s Acuna and nobody else imo
|
| 2:57 |
: I don’t suppose Riley is more likely to make the corridor of fame
|
| 2:57 |
: I don’t suppose Matt Olson is mORE seemingly, although
|
| 2:57 |
: and to be clear, I don’t suppose ‘David Wright was better’ is an effective argument
|
| 2:57 |
: if he didn’t have his profession lower quick by harm he’d in all probability be a corridor of famer
|
| 2:58 |
: Is there something for Giants followers to sit up for? I’m dooming concerning the Dodgers signing world beaters and SF getting a slap hitting outfielder
|
| 2:59 |
: I feel it’s actually enjoyable to look at Logan Webb
|
| 2:59 |
: Luis Matos is enjoyable, the workforce nearly at all times has immaculate vibes
|
| 2:59 |
: But yeah, bummer of an offseason
|
| 2:59 |
: Which members of the 2024 Atlanta Braves are within the Hall of Fame? That was the query…it kinda was which members of the Braves are more likely to make the corridor
|
| 2:59 |
: Ha effectively, honest sufficient
|
| 2:59 |
: Okay how about this
|
| 3:00 |
: not a really attention-grabbing reply, oh effectively
|
| 3:00 |
: If the Cardinals win the NLC, will probably be as a result of this younger participant surpassed expectations and made a big effect:
|
| 3:00 |
: But runner up: nobody and so they simply win b/c their innings eaters are higher than anticipated
|
| 3:00 |
: Do you hate the Reds rotation as a lot as projections do? Personally seems like there’s no approach these guys can all be as dangerous as they’re collectively being projecte to be…
|
| 3:01 |
: We have them because the Seventh-best rotation in baseball
|
| 3:01 |
: do you suppose the bluejays are nonetheless wanting so as to add this offseason?
|
| 3:01 |
: I assumed they have been
|
| 3:01 |
: however…. at this level, I don’t
|
| 3:01 |
: I feel they SHOULD
|
| 3:01 |
: Since nobody of their proper thoughts on Yawkey Way can discuss themselves into competing for a WC spot…shouldn’t the Sox give fulltime ABs to guys like Duran, Abreu, Valdez, & Rafaela in order that they know what they’ve for after they determine to spend $1 sooner or later?
|
| 3:01 |
: Oh I undoubtedly would
|
| 3:02 |
: possibly not all 4, however I’d deal with giving the younger guys ABs
|
| 3:02 |
: Now that we’ve seen it in motion for a yr, what’s your opinion on the LF wall in Camden? Too a lot? Just proper? (full disclosure: I feel it’s an terrible eyesore with no bearing on the workforce’s success)
|
| 3:02 |
: I feel it’s an eyesore however that it in all probability made sense to do exactly to maintain the offensive setting in an affordable place
|
| 3:03 |
: Is the Javy Baez contract the worst in baseball proper now?
|
| 3:03 |
: Yeah I feel so
|
| 3:03 |
: man that one went south shortly
|
| 3:03 |
: Am I loopy to suppose Skubal might win the AL Cy Young this yr? He was actually good as soon as he got here again in July.
|
| 3:03 |
: You are definiteliy not
|
| 3:03 |
: A fast have a look at some odds means that he’s the Seventh-best wager
|
| 3:04 |
: so the market agrees with you for probably the most half
|
| 3:04 |
: Strasburg contract?
|
| 3:04 |
: that’s a contender, nevertheless it’s mitigated by the way it appears clear that the Nats are getting an insurance coverage payout
|
| 3:04 |
: the entire retiring unretiring factor suggests a prince fielder situatin
|
| 3:04 |
: Do you suppose the Pirates might appear to be a fringe wild card contender in the event that they exit and signal/commerce for a 2-3 sort beginning pitcher?
|
| 3:04 |
: I want I did
|
| 3:05 |
: I feel that this workforce is simply too dangerous for one mid-level pitcher to make things better
|
| 3:05 |
: Hopefully brighter instances forward and all
|
| 3:05 |
: But the rotation is DIRE
|
| 3:05 |
: and it’s not like their offense is lights out
|
| 3:06 |
: How large of a believer are you in Chris Sale? Braves appear to be large believers
|
| 3:06 |
: I’d say I’m a medium believer, however I feel he’s a very sensible wager for them given the development of the workforce
|
| 3:06 |
: it simply is sensible to play for upside no matter availability given how loaded they’re
|
| 3:08 |
: Having my board recreation group over tonight. Any opinion between Monarch, Isle of Skye, and Bloody Inn?
|
| 3:09 |
: I’ve by no means performed any of those, sadly
|
| 3:09 |
: I’ve heard actually good issues about Bloody Inn although
|
| 3:09 |
: so I assume that?
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| 3:09 |
: I simply spent 6 hours taking part in Frosthaven yday so I’m wildly board gamed out in the intervening time
|
| 3:09 |
: Same query Himbo had about Sale, however for Kelenic
|
| 3:09 |
: Now this one is a toughie
|
| 3:10 |
: I’m not as large of a believer in Kelenic as Atlanta, however I do suppose that the worth was affordable and that it’s sensible to strive issues like that in case you’re given the chance
|
| 3:10 |
: he clearly has a carrying instrument
|
| 3:10 |
: Bloody Inn is irritating in the easiest way – completely designed that you simply at all times want you had yet another motion per flip. Recommend giving it a shot!
|
| 3:10 |
: What an awesome pitch for a recreation
|
| 3:10 |
: So am I proper to be offended each time I see Rob Refsnyder, Pablo Reyes, or Bobby Dalbec contact a bat?
|
| 3:10 |
: mmmmm…. possibly not Dalbec?
|
| 3:10 |
: I really feel just like the clay hasn’t fairly dried there
|
| 3:10 |
: Refsnyder and Reyes, yeah
|
| 3:10 |
: Do you suppose possibly Cody Bellinger, Matt Chapman and Blake Snell have been simply figments of our creativeness, and the explanation they haven’t signed is that they don’t really exist?
|
| 3:10 |
: An affordable principle
|
| 3:11 |
: Are the cubs getting themselves into the giants/cardinals vary the place they’ve a bunch of fine, not elite gamers the place will probably be laborious for them to actually add wins to the roster after this season?
|
| 3:12 |
: They are, however possibly I’m too low on their farm system
|
| 3:13 |
: I suppose PCA or Alcantara may very well be that man
|
| 3:13 |
: Good afternoon puny people.
|
| 3:13 |
: what proportion of FG writers do you suppose will choose a workforce apart from the Dodgers to win the WS this yr? (and the way about apart from the Dodgers or Braves?)
|
| 3:13 |
: I’m gonna reply the second, Dodgers or Braves
|
| 3:13 |
: I feel it’s fairly seemingly that I’ll
|
| 3:14 |
: I’m with you in considering that these two groups might be a really robust consensus
|
| 3:14 |
: and i feel {that a} greater proportion of writers will choose them than their true odds might be
|
| 3:14 |
: however let’s say… 20%
|
| 3:14 |
: It’s been awhile since I’ve made a chat: what have I missed the final a number of months?
|
| 3:14 |
: From me, not a lot! Overall, you’ve missed some superior chats after which additionally some bizarre discussions of meals from Dan
|
| 3:14 |
: Do you suppose Ohtani will break down bodily in a years from an accumulation of accidents, making his 10-year contract an albatross for the Dodgers?
|
| 3:15 |
: I undoubtedly don’t
|
| 3:15 |
: It’s laborious for his contract to be an albatross given the advertising half of issues
|
| 3:15 |
: and the truth that he might simply be a very good hitter
|
| 3:16 |
: Your a GM of a 500 workforce attempting to win a world collection within the subsequent two years. Your boss says I’ll double your payroll finances and and approve all trades however you must give my grandson 400 at bats a yr. Are you in?
|
| 3:16 |
: Oh man, good query
|
| 3:16 |
: I feel I’d in all probability be out except the proprietor’s grandson was already a significant leaguer
|
| 3:16 |
: or like, Robert Hassell the First
|
| 3:17 |
: Related to above: would FG ever think about having writers make their picks extra probabilistically? In different phrases, which workforce (in every league, or division, and so forth) is most underrated by the prevailing odds of constructing playoffs or profitable World Series? That can be extra attention-grabbing to me vs a regurgitation of largely favorites (everyone knows the Dodgers are stacked!).
|
| 3:17 |
: Probably not, however don’t fear, I simply do it anyway
|
| 3:17 |
: Have you ever observed a development that groups with elite bullpens overperform within the common season in comparison with projections/expectations? the widespread sentiment was at all times been pitching and protection, however I’m beginning to suppose that locking within the last 3 innings is definitely extra of an indicator. Think final years orioles — not unbelievable pitching, however that backend of the bullpen was lights out.
|
| 3:17 |
: I did suppose this however I’ve by no means been capable of finding a lot proof, and Dan hasn’t both
|
| 3:17 |
: Re: PCA. Are Cubs followers who say he can fill a Bellinger-sized complete on the roster simply coping or are they shut sufficient to proper that not getting Bellinger again isn’t that dangerous for them?
|
| 3:17 |
: I’m probably not the man to ask about that, however prospect week is coming quickly
|
| 3:19 |
: The Blue Jays haven’t received a single postseason recreation throughout their present window of competition. Bichette and VGJ are controllable for 2 extra seasons. Is the entrance workplace fully blowing this chance to win a WS?
|
| 3:19 |
: Mmmmm…. I don’t actually know how you can disentangle dangerous end result from dangerous course of
|
| 3:20 |
: I did like buying and selling for Berrios on the time
|
| 3:20 |
: and actually they’d try this deal once more despite the fact that he’s underwhelmed on the entire
|
| 3:20 |
: definitely the workforce has not met expectations although
|
| 3:20 |
: Alright on that observe, I’ve to go out and make my lunch, however thanks everybody for a pleasant chat at the moment
|
| 3:20 |
: Let’s do it once more someday quickly
|
| 3:20 |
: Have an exquisite week
|
Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He could be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.
Content Source: blogs.fangraphs.com