Top Prospects Series
Below is an evaluation of the prospects within the farm system of the Miami Marlins. Scouting experiences have been compiled with info offered by business sources in addition to my very own observations. This is the third yr we’re delineating between two anticipated reduction roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see within the “position” column beneath: MIRP for multi-inning reduction pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning reduction pitchers. The ETAs listed typically correspond to the yr a participant must be added to the 40-man roster to keep away from being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual changes are made the place they appear applicable, however I exploit that as a rule of thumb.
A fast overview of what FV (Future Value) means may be discovered right here. A a lot deeper overview may be discovered right here.
All of the ranked prospects beneath additionally seem on The Board, a useful resource the positioning gives that includes sortable scouting info for each group. It has extra particulars (and up to date TrackMan information from varied sources) than this text and integrates each staff’s listing so readers can examine prospects throughout farm techniques. It may be discovered right here.
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by kind and listed so as of choice inside every class.
Spot Start Candidates
Luis Palacios, LHP
Zach King, LHP
Alex Williams, LHP
Evan Fitterer, RHP
Palacios has thrown a ton of strikes for mainly his complete life as a prospect. He solely sits 88 mph however takes a secondary-heavy method led by his above-average changeup. The 22-year-old lefty is at the moment with Pensacola. King started the season there however was demoted to Beloit after a few tough begins. He’s a low-90s sinker/slider lefty who’s at his greatest when his east/west command is on level. Williams was a pleasant senior signal within the 2022 eleventh spherical out of Stanford with an above-average changeup. Fitterer was a $1 million bonus excessive schooler with a lower/trip fastball and breaking ball who hasn’t thrown strikes for the final two years. He’s almost 23. Would there be a velo bump in a shift to reduction?
More Relief Depth
George Soriano, RHP
Cristian Charle, RHP
Austin Roberts, RHP
Josh White, RHP
Juan Reynoso, RHP
Josh Simpson, LHP
Jefry Yan, LHP
Johan Quezada, RHP
Zack Leban, RHP
This complete group has a reasonably good shot to put on an enormous league uniform, however most of them might want to tighten up their command to remain there. Soriano, 24, is on the 40-man and sits about 95 mph, however it performs down resulting from its form. His fastball and slider have every generated common swinging strike charges at Triple-A, and he’s a viable up/down reduction choice however is unquestionably on the decrease finish of issues. Charle was minor league Rule 5 decide (from Pittsburgh) who sits 93-94 and has a plus slider that it seems just like the Marlins developed this yr, as I’ve him as a fastball/changeup man in final yr’s notes. Roberts, additionally acquired from Pittsburgh within the minor league Rule 5, can be sitting about 94 and has changeup, however his supply is extra violent and erratic than Charle’s. White will present you 92-95 with erratic command and two often nasty breaking balls. He was the membership’s 2022 fifth rounder out of Cal and dominated Low-A earlier than a current promotion to Beloit. Reynoso, 19, is an athletic, undersized righty with a terrific arm motion, low-90s velo, and beautiful breaking ball form. Simpson is a wild low-90s lefty with breaking ball. He’s additionally on the 40-man however isn’t pitching effectively within the minors proper now. Yan (signed out of a males’s rec league), Quezada, and Leban are all massive arm energy guys with out good really feel for location.
Spot the Late-Bloomer
Paul McIntosh, C
Cody Morissette, 2B
Jorge Caballero, OF
Dane Myers, OF
Jordan McCants, 3B
Dalvy Rosario, CF/SS
Osiris Johnson, RF
In the 25-year-old McIntosh’s case, the development of his catcher protection is essential, particularly his ball-blocking and throwing. He’s a 2021 undrafted free agent from West Virginia with a compact swing that has resulted in upper-level contact. Morissette is my kind, a L/R second baseman who carried out in faculty. He has but to submit an above-average line in professional ball and he’s a 40 glove. Still, lefty bat pace like his typically breaks late. Caballero seems the half within the uniform and has really feel for the barrel, however he lacks typical massive league athleticism and is thrashing up on A-ball arms as a 23-year-old. Myers can be outdated for the extent — he’s 27 at Double-A however completely raking. Again, he’s a improbable athlete with an enormous, athletic swing however questionable plate protection. If he performed heart discipline, he’d have a greater argument. McCants, 21, is a bucket of 40-grade instruments with nice long-term physique and athletic projection. Rosario is a compact multi-positional man who may find yourself being viable all around the diamond. He must be extra selective. Johnson nonetheless has unbelievable bat pace, and he’s solely 22 and missed a ton of time resulting from accidents, however his at-bats have confirmed to be too reckless to think about him a prospect anymore.
Bottom of the Spectrum Bats
Jordan Groshans, 3B/1B
Troy Johnston, 1B
Griffin Conine, OF
Groshans is the one hitter right here with any sort of defensive versatility, however he’s not a terrific third base defender and lacks the pop typical on the nook positions. For comparability, D-backs third baseman Emmanuel Rivera is enjoying a part-time nook infield position as a plus defender who has extra energy than Groshans. He’s a widely known participant, however it’s laborious to check him enjoying a constant massive league position with this ability set. Johnston, almost 26, can hit sufficient that he could be an above-replacement participant if you happen to gave him a complete yr of at-bats. He’s within the Yadiel Hernandez mildew. Conine has massive energy and a 20-grade hit instrument.
System Overview
The Marlins’ core competency is creating pitchers. Even as they’ve handled the kind of attrition each staff tends to because it pertains to arms (Sixto’s accidents, the Eder and Meyer TJs, Braxton Garrett’s velo by no means completely returning, and many others.), Sandy Alcantara, Edward Cabrera, and Eury Pérez are all big success tales that the scouting and dev elements of the org have had a hand in. The identical was true of Pablo López, who was traded to attempt to make the roster extra balanced. Eder and Meyer are nonetheless on the way in which, so it’s believable that extra pitchers might be moved in an effort to make the lineup deeper because the Marlins scrap across the .500 mark.
Specifically, the Marlins have coaxed tougher, higher breaking balls from their pitching prospects of late. Pérez’s 2022 ascent was aided by a tougher slider, and there are various different examples all through the system. This org nonetheless tends to have loads of guys with round-down fastball motion who throw laborious however lack bat-missing motion. The final time the Marlins gained the World Series, they have been partially propelled by an thrilling younger rotation, and one of the best handful of arms within the org proper now are as proficient as that group.
Lots of the high-profile prospects on this system have points making contact. Hitters from the home draft particularly are usually power-over-hit varieties who really feel like they’re on skinny ice. This extends to Kameron Misner and JJ Bleday, who Miami traded, and Peyton Burdick, who graduated. It’s an org that tends to take massive time athletes and attempt to train them to hit, which they haven’t. As a end result, as flush with younger pitching because the Marlins are, they’re skinny on high-probability hitters. It might be attention-grabbing to observe how the org’s participant acquisition and improvement tendencies pattern following adjustments to senior management in these areas this previous offseason.
Altogether, this method’s high-end (the quantity and high quality of the blokes within the 45 FV tier and above) is about common, whereas its total depth is missing. Some of that’s nonetheless as a result of echoes of the low hit fee on the Yelich/Stanton/Ozuna trades. Other than Sandy, these offers have been comparatively fruitless. Lewis Brinson, Monte Harrison, Isan Díaz, Magnueris Sierra and the remainder of them simply kind of departed for nothing, failing to turn out to be tradable gamers themselves. The Marlins additionally are inclined to half with a number of gamers in trades. They’re prepared to throw in one other participant or two on loads of the offers they make, which has value them depth over time. None of the Yaqui Rivera and Kevin Guerrero varieties they’ve despatched packing have actually come again to chunk them but, however Alex Vesia was higher than Dylan Floro fairly rapidly and Byron Chourio seems good at Twins camp. Most of the groups working extra secure long-term ops aren’t consolidating items into center relievers. In truth, they have a tendency to do the alternative till they’ve so many attention-grabbing minor leaguers that they don’t have any alternative however to maneuver a few of them. That hasn’t been Miami, although, and it’s part of the decision-making course of that deserves re-evaluation.
Content Source: blogs.fangraphs.com