Below is an evaluation of the prospects within the farm system of the Philadelphia Phillies. Scouting reviews have been compiled with info offered by business sources in addition to my very own observations. This is the third 12 months we’re delineating between two anticipated reduction roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see within the “position” column beneath: MIRP for multi-inning reduction pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning reduction pitchers. The ETAs listed typically correspond to the 12 months a participant must be added to the 40-man roster to keep away from being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual changes are made the place they appear applicable, however I take advantage of that as a rule of thumb.
A fast overview of what FV (Future Value) means may be discovered right here. A a lot deeper overview may be discovered right here.
All of the ranked prospects beneath additionally seem on The Board, a useful resource the location provides that includes sortable scouting info for each group. It has extra particulars (and up to date TrackMan information from numerous sources) than this text and integrates each group’s listing so readers can examine prospects throughout farm methods. It may be discovered right here.
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by kind and listed so as of desire inside every class.
Young Upside Bats
Nolan Beltran, 2B
Joseph Diaz, OF
Leny Carela, SS
This group comprises current worldwide signees, largely just a few standouts from the DSL. Beltran, an 18-year-old Colombian infielder, is a compact, contact-oriented hitter with precocious really feel to hit and little physicality. Diaz, 17, is a really lanky, athletic, and projectable outfielder with a beautiful swing. Carela, 18, is a easy infield defender with good barrel really feel for somebody who lacks energy.
Spot Starters
Michael Plassmeyer, LHP
Jordi Martinez, LHP
Cristian Hernandez, RHP
Plassmeyer, 26, sits 89-91 mph, throws numerous fastball strikes, and has a median curveball and changeup. Martinez, 22, is analogous besides he sits 93 with traits that trigger his heater to minimize. Perhaps Hernandez, 23, is extra possible to slot in an extended reduction function. He was moved to the bullpen in the course of 2022, and can contact the 95-96 vary in shorter outings (buts tends to take a seat 92-93 as a starter) and present you a plus breaking ball.
Tommy John Rehabbers
Micah Ottenbreit, RHP
Christian McGowan, RHP
Eduar Segovia, RHP
Ottenbreit bought about $750,000 as a 2021 fourth rounder to eschew a dedication to Michigan State. A projectable righty with two good secondary pitches, his early profession has been marred by wildness and now harm. McGowan was the Phillies’ 2021 seventh rounder out of Eastern Oklahoma State. He’s as much as 97 mph and sits 92-94, and his slider has fairly nasty angle. Both blew out two begins into 2022 and are nearing the one 12 months mark of rehab. Segovia has been again this spring and sitting 91-94, which is the decrease finish of his pre-surgery velo vary. At factors he has appeared like a center reliever with a mid-90s heater and a plus slider.
Many More Relief Candidates
Alex Rao, RHP
Eiberson Castellano, RHP
Tommy McCollum, RHP
Jose Pena Jr., RHP
Rafael Marcano, LHP
Erubiel Armenta, LHP
A 2022 Day Two select of Notre Dame, Rao sits 93-96 mph and has an above-average changeup. Castellano, 21, sits 92-93 however has been as much as 96 on the backfields. He throws strikes and his curveball has an opportunity to be plus. His supply is reliever-y however in any other case he’s a fairly steady prospect. McCollum, happening 24, sits 94-96 with extra of a fringe breaking ball. Pena, 19, has had a velo swoon this spring and is sitting nearer to 91 mph than his traditional mid-90s in keeping with scouts with Phillies protection. Marcano has a plus lefty breaking ball and below-average fastball velo. Armenta, 23, sits within the low-90s with uphill angle, a plus changeup, and 20-grade management.
Unlikely To Hit Enough
Marcus Lee Sang, RF
Yemal Flores, CF
Yhoswar Garcia, CF
Pedro Martinez, SS
Kendall Simmons, 2B
Jhailyn Ortiz, RF
Ethan Wilson, LF
Baron Radcliff, 1B
Jamari Baylor, 2B
Casey Martin, SS
In my opinion, this whole group has hit instruments that can make it very laborious for any of them to grow to be substantial huge leaguers. They are pref’d out right here based mostly largely on defensive match and remaining time to develop. Lots of them have been both high-profile draft picks or big-dollar worldwide prospects. Two-way excessive schooler Marcus Lee Sang’s contact high quality is kind of good on paper, which was nearly sufficient for him to make the primary part of the listing, however I can’t discover scouts who purchase that he’ll make sufficient contact. Flores, 19, has hit beneath the Mendoza Line in every of his two professional seasons. His really feel for heart discipline is fairly good for such a stocky teenager, and the bat velocity he generates regardless of a brief swing is spectacular, however he hasn’t hit in any respect. Garcia has had ID verification, visa, and harm points which have made it robust for him to get reps, however he’s appeared completely misplaced on the plate after I’ve seen him. Martinez is a good shortstop defender and a switch-hitter with restricted barrel really feel. Simmons has engaging pull energy and had an okay 2022 on paper when he was wholesome, however he’s additionally practically 23. Ortiz, who was simply DFA’d, ought to be squarely within the KBO crosshairs. I had a late-first spherical grade on Wilson, however he hasn’t hit double digit homers in a season since his freshman 12 months of faculty and that simply doesn’t lower it for a nook outfielder. Radcliff simply has plus energy however might need a 20-grade hit software. Baylor and Martin are toolsheds who have been worthy draft gambles that simply haven’t labored out.
System Overview
There are some potential stars sitting atop this in any other case below-average system, because the Phillies have struggled to determine prospects whose hit instruments can really carry them to a significant huge league function. Even the higher place participant prospects aren’t ensures to hit, although some (particularly Nikau Pouaka-Grego, William Bergolla and Hao-Yu Lee) have carried out properly to date. Not solely is there that massive roster of struggling guys on the backside of the Honorable Mentions right here, however attrition of this sort is prone to influence a number of of the gamers on the primary part of the listing who’ve some statistical yellow or crimson flags within the contact class (particularly Carlos De La Cruz and Gabriel Rincones Jr.).
What the system does have numerous is pitching, not solely the trio on the very high of the listing however, importantly, within the 35+ FV tier the place up/down relievers are usually valued. The Phillies are defending National League champions and want all of the comparatively fungible pitching depth they’ll get to sandbag towards accidents, particularly when the varsity group is coming off an extra-long, grinding 2022 postseason.
The core competencies right here have been the identical for some time. The Phillies do properly internationally, particularly in Venezuela and within the Pacific Rim. They have a tendency to seek out an fascinating excessive schooler on Day Two or Three of the draft, with Emaarion Boyd and Bryan Rincon offering the newest examples, whereas Logan O’Hoppe is the perfect. With so most of the huge league roster spots firmly within the grasp of star gamers, the Phillies’ relative dearth of place participant prospects will solely damage them in the event that they find yourself missing ammunition to commerce and prolong this window of competition. If a number of of these gamers can take a significant step ahead, then the Phillies will be capable of add with out cleansing out each high-end prospect they’ve.
Content Source: blogs.fangraphs.com