| 12:00 |
| 12:00 | Jose Abreu: My again hurts, ought to I be afraid on Jon Singleton taking up? |
| 12:00 |
| 12:00 | the man who asks the lunch query: what’s for lunch? |
| 12:01 |
| 12:01 | seth: that lorenzen highschool no hitters stat is fairly bonkers, huh? |
| 12:01 |
| 12:02 | Joe: Why is John Angelos? Like, why is he? |
| 12:02 |
| 12:02 | Ryan: If Ohtani had theoretically been traded to a NL workforce on the deadline, how a lot consideration would he nonetheless have obtained for AL MVP? |
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| 12:04 | Kyle B: As a Yankees fan….Can fangraphs give me any hope for 2024 lol I don’t know the way something can actually change proper now |
| 12:04 |
| 12:04 | j: Hi Dan, I'm curious as as to if or not Michael Busch’s latest sizzling stretch in aaa has been sufficient to maneuver the needle on his zips projections. I discover it attention-grabbing that zips appears to (at the very least in accordance high the model posted day by day) favor the bat of Jonny DeLuca for the remainder of the season. |
| 12:05 |
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| 12:07 |
| 12:07 | Darb: Favorite non-FanGraphs baseball podcast? |
| 12:07 |
| 12:08 | Justin: Any ideas on why the Mets aren’t calling up Ronny Mauricio? |
| 12:09 |
| 12:09 |
| 12:09 | Walton Dilcox: To be an excellent, lengthy lasting participant on this league….how essential is it to play protection and hit onerous flyballs? More than ever? |
| 12:09 |
| 12:09 | Tacoby Bellsbury: Is Jose Ramirez KOing Tim Anderson baseball’s Buster Douglas second? |
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| 12:11 | D: What does ZIPS consider Cedanne Rafaela? He’s hit very well in AAA this 12 months–has that moved the needle on his future? And what does it consider his OF protection, if something? |
| 12:11 |
| 12:12 |
| 12:12 | Walton Dilcox: McClanahan could also be in line for a second TJ. I hear on the heckscape that's the web this surgical procedure is so protected and gamers ought to simply “get it out of the way.” Are sports followers simply shedding their minds? |
| 12:12 |
| 12:13 | Andruw Monasterio: Am I a long-term piece of the Brewers infield now? |
| 12:13 |
| 12:13 | Darb: I used to be going to ask which deadline purchaser goes to have probably the most regret, nevertheless it’s the Angels, isn’t it? |
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| 12:14 |
| 12:14 | Hopeless Drury Fan: Thanks for the chat at the moment Dan!For the previous 3 years (practically 1,000 PA), Brandon Drury has posted a xwOBA 30+ factors decrease than his wOBA. Is this luck or a talent that’s not captured properly by xwOBA in your humble opinion? |
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| 12:18 | Aiden: What is the method for changing into a FanGraphs contributor? |
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| 12:20 |
| 12:20 | tz: Would it's attainable to do a ZiPS projection on Ozzie Albies, however solely utilizing his stats hitting right-handed? |
| 12:21 |
| 12:21 | fanoftheman: within the historical past of zips, what single change to your methodology made the most important distinction in enhancing the accuracy of the projections? |
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| 12:21 |
| 12:22 | fanoftheman: I do know the Cardinals protection is unhealthy, however what the heck is up with the babip they’re permitting? If the season ended at the moment, they’d have the second worst non-Coors BABIP allowed since 2000. Some of that must be unhealthy luck, proper? |
| 12:22 |
| 12:22 | James: Given Dana Brown’s latest feedback, what are the expectations for a Tucker extension? Would 9/250 be aggressive? |
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| 12:25 |
| 12:25 | Ethan: first, I wished to forged a vote for ‘z’ stat leaderboards/extra frequent updates. I discover them very attention-grabbing to have a look at. second, I used to be questioning if the batted ball knowledge (particularly fly balls) is park adjusted in any capability? Could atmosphere assist clarify a number of the zHR beneath and overachievers? |
| 12:25 |
| 12:25 | Jose’s Right Hook: Have you run ZiPS profession projections for gamers that couldn’t exist, simply to see what they'd appear to be? Talking about progressions for somebody who hits .500, a batter who by no means strikes out, ect. |
| 12:26 |
| 12:26 | The Dorothy Zbornaks: Are we nonetheless doing a fantasy soccer league this 12 months? |
| 12:26 |
| 12:26 | DD: Working on an article for my web site: Do you assume that the banning of the shift has improved some gamers defensive metrics this season? ( Baez, Witt Jr., and Franco)…sufficient causation/correlation? |
| 12:27 |
| 12:27 | Colton: Do you could have any recommendation for somebody that's considering starting a baseball writing weblog of their very own? |
| 12:27 |
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| 12:28 | James: Is employees ace JP France a legit center rotation man? |
| 12:28 |
| 12:28 | Darb: Favorite non-FanGraphs baseball podcast? |
| 12:28 |
| 12:29 |
| 12:29 | Springer: lastly homered final evening for the primary time in a month nevertheless it left the bat at 96 mph. anxious about growing old right here but? |
| 12:29 |
| 12:29 | Royals fan: KC misplaced a run as a result of a ball received caught in a lightbulb in Fenway, then misplaced the sport by one run. I feel I’m finished with 2023. (This is just not a query.) |
| 12:30 |
| 12:30 | captainjameshook: I do know Greinke’s on the IL now however, assuming he comes again, and with nothing else to play for this 12 months, shouldn’t the Royals let him play all 9 positions in a sport and let him go for his quest for 10 profession HRs and SBs? Is there a petition we will begin? |
| 12:30 |
| 12:30 | AL Lifer: Now that we now have the common DH, how lengthy earlier than postseason awards are mixed between the 2 leagues? |
| 12:31 |
| 12:31 | Appa Yip Yip: Have you performed Baldur’s Gate 3 but? |
| 12:31 |
| 12:31 | Does Chewbacca use TP?: What do ZIPS take into consideration Yoan Mondada? Is there any hope for a 2024 rebound, or is he in DFA territory…has one 12 months left at a reasonably sizable quantity… |
| 12:32 |
| 12:32 | Appa Yip Yip: In honour of José Bautista happening the Blue Jays degree of excellence this Saturday I wish to reiterate my perception that his bat flip in 2015 was a watershed second for the game with reference to gamers celebrating and having enjoyable. Joey’s bat flew so Soto may shuffle. |
| 12:32 | John Mozeliak: will you do a john angelos vs kevin brown wwe match? |
| 12:32 |
| 12:32 |
| 12:33 | Key Flaw: 5 man rotations are there to guard pitcher’s arms, however with the quantity of throwing in between is it actually completely different than a 4 man rotation? Is there knowledge concerning the results of 4 vs 5 man rotations? Or is it simply “it could be really bad and we don’t want to risk destroying arms to test it out”? |
| 12:33 |
| 12:33 |
| 12:34 | TomBruno23: On this, the day after Michael Lorenzen’s no-hitter and as a reminder to Mike Warren, let’s keep in mind that Bud Smith, with a profession file of 7-8, tossed a 134 pitch no hitter at San Diego on September 3, 2001. |
| 12:34 | fantasy soccer: can I be part of? ; p |
| 12:34 |
| 12:34 | CM: If you're the Orioles this offseason, do you commerce a number of of Hays, Mountcastle, or Santander to make room for Kjerstad and probably Mayo? Of the three, who's the one that you just assume the Orioles ought to most preserve? |
| 12:35 |
| 12:35 | Appa Yip Yip: Rather than make gamers up it could be enjoyable to run ZiPS projections for gamers in previous NES baseball video games. How would Sleve McDichel fare in at the moment’s excessive velo atmosphere? |
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| 12:36 |
| 12:37 | Alex Remington: I’d wish to ask you an identical query I requested Ben Clemens about Bryce Elder: Despite the whole lot – his Tiffany-blue baseball savant web page, his having given up seven runs in three of his final 5 begins, and then again additionally All-Star choice – primarily based on his first 22 main league begins, Bryce Elder *appears* like he’ll settle in as a reasonably good 4/5 starter, someplace in between Jon Niese and Dillon Gee. Is that honest? |
| 12:37 |
| 12:38 |
| 12:39 | Ren Kosenthal: Gun to your head who wins NL CY? |
| 12:39 |
| 12:39 | Key Flaw: Going to the true University of Maryland, we at all times mentioned UMBC stood for “U made a bad choice”. You went to Loyola, proper? Did you could have issues like that for UMBC or different schools? |
| 12:39 |
| 12:39 |
| 12:40 | Key Flaw: Have you tried Old World? It is meant to be like CivIV (the very best Civ) however modernized. |
| 12:40 |
| 12:40 | Kyle: ZiPS has underestimated how good the Orioles could be the final two years by rather a lot. My query is: why do you could have such a bias towards Baltimore and the place do you assume it got here from? There will be no different rationalization, particularly random variance. |
| 12:40 |
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| 12:40 |
| 12:41 | John Mozeliak: talking of mlb the present, have you ever gone through the negro leagues storylines? edutainment! |
| 12:41 |
| 12:41 | Ethan: How a lot inventory do you/zips put in minor league protection when projecting MLB WAR? I do know you’ve talked about a having a totalzone-esque stat for minors however do you regress it so much? |
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| 12:44 |
| 12:44 | Appa Yip Yip: Is Davis Schneider the opening day 2b for the Jays subsequent season? Sample dimension be damned he’s 5’9 and hit a ball filter of Fenway. |
| 12:44 |
| 12:44 | Exit Hits: Jose Altuve has outperformed his xwoba in virtually yearly for the reason that launch of the stat. Is there some property that enables hitters to take care of above anticipated numbers or is it dumb luck? |
| 12:44 |
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| 12:48 |
| 12:48 | Guest: If the Padres make the playoffs, does Ha-Seong Kim get any MVP votes? |
| 12:48 |
| 12:48 | v2micca: If the Pirates are aggressive with Paul Skenes and he will get a style of the Majors in 2024, is zips bullish or bearish on his 2024 numbers? |
| 12:48 |
| 12:49 | Darb: Is Hader going to get $120 million? |
| 12:49 |
| 12:49 | v2micca: Considering the truth that banning the shift appears to have completed the targets of the commissioner’s workplace, do you assume much more restrictive defensive positioning guidelines could possibly be a risk? |
| 12:49 |
| 12:49 | MilwaukeeBeerJays: Fangraphs projections nonetheless see the Rays as favorites to win the AL east. A sure left handed beginning pitcher disagrees. What does ZIPs assume? |
| 12:49 |
| 12:49 |
| 12:49 | MilwaukeeBeerJays: Feels good seeing the Yankees and Red Sox on the backside of the AL east. A plague on each your homes! |
| 12:49 | Michael Freaking Lorenzen: Have I improved my outlook sufficient this 12 months to warrant a sizeable multi-year FA contract? Or will I be again within the 1 12 months/5-10mil vary come this offseason? Topline (and no-no) look nice, however peripherals solely barely higher than 2022. |
| 12:50 |
| 12:50 | TomBruno23: So…Jordan Walker…what sort of wRC+ does he must put up to be able to compensate for the entire different baseball issues that he doesn't achieve this properly? |
| 12:50 |
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| 12:50 |
| 12:50 | Key Flaw: Kevin Brown is the primary Orioles announcer that I appreciated as a lot as Jon Miller. Is that irony or applicable given what has occurred? |
| 12:50 |
| 12:51 | TomBruno23: Along with that Greinke be aware, actually hoping the Cardinals let Wainwright hit on October 1 in his final MLB sport. |
| 12:51 | Ballywoop: Jays or Mariners down the stretch |
| 12:51 |
| 12:51 | J: Does ZiPS imagine in Owen Caissie? Feels like a main ZiPS high 100 candidate the place his efficiency for his age is insane however scouts are much less eager. |
| 12:51 |
| 12:52 |
| 12:54 |
| 12:54 | Guest: It actually appears to be like just like the Astros have to discover a option to get Diaz’s bat within the lineup extra. If you got the flexibility to set the Astros lineup daily, which of those gamers would see probably the most discount in begins to get Diaz extra PT: Maldonaldo, Abreu, Dubon, or Meyers? If Dusty does play Diaz extra, I believe the PT will come from Meyers. |
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| 12:54 |
| 12:55 | Re: Strategy Games: have you ever performed XCOM? in that case, which is your favourite model. I received XCOM 2 lately for the reason that bundle was 90% off on steam |
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| 12:57 |
| 12:58 | Wireless Joe Jackson: Bobby Witt is as much as 4 WAR and a 110 wRC+ and nonetheless underperforming his xwOBA by 35 factors. Which if any under-25 shortstops would you continue to favor to him? |
| 12:58 |
| 12:58 |
| 12:58 | Guest: I’m so upset that Kevin Brown isn’t that Kevin Brown. |
| 12:59 |
| 12:59 | Bravesfan: How for actual is Orlando Arcia? Can he preserve a BABIP of over 330? |
| 12:59 |
| 12:59 | G: What do the Braves do with Vaughn Grissom. .Another 12 months in AAA looks like a waste |
| 1:00 |
| 1:00 | Jon: Why does the pitcher level up on a fly ball? That doesn’t assist anybody. |
| 1:00 |
| 1:01 | JC: You’re not the prospect man, however… Coming up, Arraez had miniscule Ok charges however had a 60 FV hit device. Was the priority high quality of contact or proximity to the majors? |
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| 1:03 |
| 1:03 | Zach: How freaking good is Jackson Holliday going to be as soon as he utterly fills out his physique? |
| 1:03 |
| 1:03 | TomBruno23: If it was that Kevin Brown you'd additionally see him stick up for himself and inform John Angelos to stay it up himself. |
| 1:04 | MilwaukeeBeerJays: My girl buddy has lately been invited by a dude to play board video games. It’s not the man I’m involved about. What do I do if she begins bringing residence board video games? Is divorce too excessive? |
| 1:04 |
| 1:04 | Domingo: It’s not “if I’m the Pirates”, it’s “if I WERE there pirates”. |
| 1:05 | TomBruno23: Today in Immaculate Grid I remembered Jeff Manto. I've to imagine you could have fond recollections of his 0.7 bWAR season for the 1995 Orioles. |
| 1:05 |
| 1:05 |
| 1:05 | Rick: Looking for a brand new online game. I’m not an excessive amount of of online game man. One each couple or few years. I’ve loved RDR2 and Witcher 3 previously. Thinking that Diablo one, perhaps. Any solutions? PS4 |
| 1:05 |
| 1:06 |
| 1:06 | Appa Yip Yip: If she brings residence Catan you gotta run. Everything else it's best to play. |
| 1:06 | lyhe: been loving your zStats Validation articles! how onerous do you assume regression will have an effect on HSKim’s batting? He’s my favorite participant to look at this season |
| 1:06 |
| 1:07 |
| 1:07 | Vector: Have you performed Gloomhaven? Been taking part in a marketing campaign with two pals on PC and it’s a blast. |
| 1:07 |
| 1:09 | Board Game Engine: What’s your go to on-line board sport engine? Tabletop Simulator? Board Game Arena? A unique one? onerous to play board video games if you reside nowhere close to your pals who play |
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Dan Szymborski is a senior author for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a author for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a daily visitor on numerous radio reveals and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He additionally maintains a horrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Content Source: blogs.fangraphs.com
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