Dominion settlement more likely to value Fox News far lower than $787 million

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Fox Corp.’s $787.5 million settlement with Dominion Voting Systems over defamation expenses is eye-popping, however the final value to the media firm is more likely to be a lot decrease.

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On Tuesday, Fox settled with Dominion over expenses that Fox News baselessly accused the corporate of rigging its voting machines towards former President Donald Trump in 2020. It was the most-watched media libel case in a long time.

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Fox had about $4 billion of money readily available as of December 2022, and MoffettNathanson analyst Robert Fishman expects the corporate to pay the settlement throughout the present quarter.

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How a lot the lawsuit will really find yourself costing Fox is unclear as a result of there are methods it may possibly defray a number of the expense, primarily by means of insurance coverage and using tax deductions.

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Fox can deduct the Dominion settlement from its revenue taxes as an expense obligatory for the price of doing enterprise. Fox Chief Communications Officer Brian Nick has confirmed the deductibility of the settlement.

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Big firms typically deduct massive settlements to assist offset a number of the value, however since settlement quantities are often confidential, it’s tough to pin down precisely how a lot they profit. Payments which might be seen as restitution or compensation may be deducted, whereas funds made to the federal government or on the route of a authorities are often not deductible.

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Robert Willens, a tax professor on the Columbia University School of Business, estimates that after the tax write-off, Fox will incur about three-fourths of the settlement quantity, about $590 million.

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“The key is that if the payments are being made to private parties and not at the behest of the government then you can pretty much conclude without any fear of contradiction that the payment will be deductible,” he stated.

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A examine by the Government Accountability Office in 2005 discovered that of 34 settlements totaling over $1 billion, 20 firms reported deducting some portion or all of their settlement funds. Big banks akin to Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase reportedly additionally deducted parts of their settlements of expenses tied the monetary disaster of 2008.

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Also, if Fox is insured, insurance coverage is more likely to cowl a number of the settlement. Chad Milton, a companion at Media Risk Consultants, stated a big media firm akin to Fox may have wherever between $100 million to $500 million in protection, together with media legal responsibility insurance coverage and different varieties of insurance coverage.

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“It’s not hard to stack up $100 million but as you go higher than that, it gets harder and harder,” Milton stated.

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Usually, there’s a certain quantity a media firm has to pay, which could possibly be within the hundreds of thousands, earlier than insurance coverage kicks in. However, the deductible incudes lawyer charges, which in a high-profile case like Fox-Dominion could possibly be tens of hundreds of thousands of {dollars} or greater, so the deductible could possibly be swallowed up simply by lawyer charges.

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One wrinkle: even when an insurance coverage firm pays a considerable a part of the settlement, there could possibly be an annual mixture restrict of legal responsibility, which may imply that insurers wouldn’t cowl one other big-money settlement.

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And media firms and insurers don’t all the time agree on who ought to cowl what, since there are caveats written into contracts that permit insurers to keep away from paying underneath sure circumstances. In 2017, Disney settled a defamation go well with that was filed in 2012 after ABC aired a phase that questioned the security of a meat producer’s merchandise that critics dubbed “pink slime.” But considered one of its insurers, AIG, ended up suing Disney so it wouldn’t should pay a part of the settlement, though AIG finally misplaced.

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Fox has additionally stated it doesn’t anticipate the settlement to have an effect on its operations.

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“We don’t expect significant operational effects or changes to our business given our cash flow, strong balance sheet and the health of our business,” the corporate stated in an announcement after the settlement was introduced.

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MoffettNathanson’s Fishman stated all the pieces signifies the corporate will have the ability to run its enterprise as normal.

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“It isn’t clear there has been much, if any, impact of these lawsuits on Fox News’ viewership and business,” he stated.

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Fishman stated he doesn’t anticipate the settlement to hamper Fox’s means to return cash to shareholders, together with a $1 billion accelerated share repurchase program introduced in February.

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Fox has the same lawsuit looming with one other voting machine firm, Smartmatic, however no date has been set and the case may not go to court docket for a few years.

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