| 2:01 |
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| 2:04 | Kyle B: Hey Jay! Over the all star break we heard a ton of speak in regards to the new CBA and began listening to whispers in regards to the subsequent one….do you suppose we're staring down one other lockout in 2026? Possibly missed video games in 2027? |
| 2:06 |
| 2:08 | Jed Skeptic: Selling Stroman and Bellinger look like the *apparent* strikes for Jed to make. What are some bolder issues to think about , with a purpose to give this org a vital shakeup ? |
| 2:12 |
| 2:14 | BenZobrist4MVP: Thank you for the Cooperstown Notebook collection, Jay! I’m interested in Christian Yelich, because you didn’t point out him. He has had considerably of a rebound this yr and is youthful than Semien with extra profession WAR. I do know he wound want a number of extra peak seasons, however do you suppose it’s attainable for him to get again on Hall monitor? |
| 2:18 |
| 2:18 | Spach: What do you consider Trea for RoS? |
| 2:20 |
| 2:20 | BenZobrist4MVP: Is pitcher protection accounted for in any respect in bWAR? If so, how a lot of a JAWS bump do nice fielders like Greg Maddux, Mark Buehrle, and Zack Greinke get from their very own fielding? If not, is that one thing we should always take extra into consideration or is the defensive worth too negligible to matter? |
| 2:22 |
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| 2:22 | coors lightyear: how dangerous was the mookie betts commerce |
| 2:26 |
| 2:26 | Deeee: I’ve loved your HOF collection not too long ago, attainable piece on managers/entrance workplace members coming? |
| 2:27 |
| 2:27 | mmddyyyy: After you write a couple of participant, are you extra excited to observe them play? |
| 2:29 |
| 2:29 | Cameron: With how dangerous the AL Central and the way good the AL East is do you suppose it’s time to remove divisions and simply have the AL/NL solely? |
| 2:31 |
| 2:32 | Guest: For place gamers and pitchers, the system for present voters appears pretty predictable, and no less than pretty near your considering. Some mix of general worth with peak output. Throw in some weight for counting quantity milestones, playoff success, and whatnot. But for relievers, it appears rather more arbitrary. Billy Wagner on the verge of enshrinement whereas Nathan and Papelbon don’t get a sniff. Is the cement dry on voter considering on relievers, or is there shifting thought on what weight to present to innings, utilization, fee statistics, leverage, playoffs and extra? |
| 2:35 | Long story brief, I believe voter opinion on relievers is considerably malleable, however they do do get pleasure from some quantity of sizzle, which might be why Nathan and Papelbon didn’t get far of their candidacies |
| 2:35 | Mike M: Yeah, yeah, Ohtani received’t get traded, however the place would you like to see him play out the remainder of the season? Assuming he did get traded |
| 2:36 |
| 2:36 | Curious: I've a battle in regards to the HoF. On the one hand, I wish to see sure gamers in there, similar to Bonds and Flood; however on the opposite, their absence is a credibility concern for me. Paradoxically, I really feel like I each care and don’t care. Have you needed to resolve an identical feeling? |
| 2:41 | The different factor to recollect is that the Hall isn’t simply the plaque room and the infinite annual arguments. It’s a a world-class analysis facility and an exquisite, quirky museum of the sport’s historical past. Over the previous decade or two, the Hall has achieved a very good job of modernizing its reveals. It’s value a go to even if you happen to’re conflicted, since you’ll discover a lot to like there. |
| 2:42 | Chris: The Cardinals had been not too long ago rumored to cowl Logan Gilbert. Would you do a Jordan walker for Gilbert commerce if you happen to had been all sides? |
| 2:44 |
| 2:44 | mac: Have we seen the final contending Yankees group for years? They’re already lacking the playoffs this season, and so they’re slowed down with costly mid-late-30s declining veterans with a seamless incapacity to develop their prospects into good main league hitters. What’s the possibility they’re a final place group in, say, 3 or 4 of the subsequent 5 years? |
| 2:44 |
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| 2:49 |
| 2:50 | Steve: I’ve began some future HOF candidates and I used to be stunned to see how underwhelming Yadi Molina’s WAR numbers are. What does his JAWS rating appear like? |
| 2:52 | Bert: Snell and Hader for a package deal of Leiter and Rocker +… who say no? |
| 2:53 |
| 2:53 | Bert: If you’re the Padres do you remorse making the Soto commerce now? Wood continues to rise, Gore is settling in as a mid-rotation piece, Abrams isn’t strolling however getting higher |
| 2:54 |
| 2:54 | BCB: Next season the NBA is implementing a midseason match for a money prize with a purpose to convey some pleasure to the early a part of the schedule since lots of people tune out till the playoff hunt. Do you will have any enjoyable gimmicky concepts that you just suppose MLB might check out? Doesn’t should be tremendous real looking essentially however simply attention-grabbing. |
| 2:57 | Scratch that, if we wish to make it somewhat wild, sure, let’s do that. Expand to 32 groups/4 divisions per league. Each division winner will get into the playoffs, and a match amongst all the opposite groups will get the winner the spot because the customer in a one-game Wild Card towards the worst of these division winners. A scorching week might get an in any other case 100-loss group a shot within the postseason |
| 2:57 | Bert: If Tatis goes on to string collectively a bunch of 5-6 WAR season all through his twenties and early thirties do you suppose the writers vote him in? |
| 2:59 |
| 2:59 |
| 3:02 | Planet Dust: Dan briefly responded to a query (not from me) about Acuna’s drop in strikeout fee in a chat a couple of weeks again, mainly saying it appeared sustainable. I used to be questioning if it’s as dramatic because it seems and the way widespread this type of drop is. It looks as if an enormous deal to me however perhaps it actually isn’t. |
| 3:03 | Acuña is taking extra strikes this yr, however he’s making up for it by whiffing approach much less. He’s reduce his strikeout fee by an astonishing 11.5 proportion factors, from 23.6% to 12.4%. I checked strikeout charges all the way in which again to 1900; excluding the shortened 2020 season, solely two certified gamers have ever dropped their strikeout fee by 10 proportion factors: |
| 3:03 |
| 3:03 |
| 3:04 | Joseph: Hey Jay! I do know you made a remark about it in Part III of the Cooperstown Notebook, however do you suppose the Mets will commerce Verlander/Scherzer and what that form of deal seems to be like? |
| 3:09 |
| 3:10 | Marshall: How would you rank Kershaw, Verlander, Scherzer, and Grienke by way of “greatest pitcher of the ’00s”? |
| 3:12 |
| 3:12 | Failed Rebuild: Hi Jay: for groups which are out of it, why not commerce somebody (like CWS with Giolito) now relatively than 8/1. Acquiring group will get extra begins and thus extra worth. |
| 3:13 |
| 3:14 | Anon21: Does Acuña get his 40 homers? I say sure, as a result of I've a superstitious perception that he can simply change his swing and hit 6 in every week if he desires to (primarily based on watching him hit 6 in every week a number of occasions earlier than). |
| 3:15 |
| 3:15 | Pedro: What are your ideas about how Peraza will fare now that Yankees known as him up lastly? Will they offer him as a lot rope as Volpe has acquired? Thanks prematurely |
| 3:16 |
| 3:17 | Benny: What occurred to Yasmani Grandal? Through 2021 he appeared like a darkish horse Hall candidate (no less than if you happen to rely framing worth and go by fWAR as a substitute of bWAR). But the final 2 years he has been–not good. How did he so out of the blue go from All-Star caliber to sub-replacement caliber? This yr he isn’t even strolling or framing, which was his 2 standout expertise. |
| 3:19 |
| 3:20 | Chip: Jeff, I’d prefer to request that Fangraphs informs us forward of time if there's going to be every week by which Cooperstown Progress Report, 2024 ZIPs Changes, and Trade Value Series all get launched. I've a bunch of PTO and I took none. None!! (Love all of the stuff popping out these days. Thanks!) |
| 3:20 |
| 3:21 |
| 3:21 | Insert Witty Name Here: If Greg Maddux got here up in todays recreation, would he nonetheless grow to be a HoFer? |
| 3:23 |
| 3:23 | Broader HoF: Joe Posnanski introduced up Vin Scully in certainly one of his newest weblog posts, mentioning that he believes Vin ought to make the corridor as a contributor (i.e. past his already having acquired the Frick Award), and I used to be curious as to your ideas on this level. Do you are feeling that that is viable/that Vin deserves a spot within the Hall? Or is that opening a can of worms? (I’m unsure a technique or one other, although I believe I facet on Vin already being acknowledged as a lot or greater than any broadcaster already) |
| 3:24 |
| 3:25 | Angels assist: Dodgers would in all probability supply probably the most prime finish prospects for Ohtani and we suck at creating our personal expertise until it’s trout or Ohtani. Will Arte’s ego hold him from transferring him on the deadline? Or will he be traded some other place? |
| 3:26 |
| 3:26 | Chip Locke: Have you tried your hand at Immaculate Grid? It is a superb Remember Some Guys check. Or, the typically extra enjoyable, Definitely Remember This Guy But Just Remembered He Spent a Miniscule Amount of Time on Team X check. |
| 3:28 |
| 3:28 | Jake Marogersnik: Who do you suppose is the subsequent unanimous HOF entrant, if anybody? Pujols, Ichiro, Miggy, or Trout appear the most definitely imo |
| 3:29 |
| 3:30 | Guest: If you needed to choose yu darvish or sonny grey ros who would you relatively have? |
| 3:30 |
| 3:31 | Astros: Shouldn’t they be extra prepared to exceed the tax? They simply received the championship. Do you see the Belli and Stroman rumors coming true? Chicago in all probability desires to ship cash and get higher prospects? Or am I studying them incorrect? |
| 3:33 |
| 3:35 | Q: Scott Harris tells Javy Baez that he’s not going to begin in 2024. Does Javy choose out? |
| 3:36 |
| 3:37 | Jon: I do know Kelenic continues to be younger and he’s picked issues up in July however his Ok% continues to be atrocious. Long time period, do you suppose he's something greater than a good OF? |
| 3:37 |
| 3:38 | Guardians Maniac: If you had been the Guardians how would you deal with the glut of center infielders? Cleveland has Brito, Freeman, Gimenez, Arias and Rocchio all obtainable for at most three spots. Are Freeman and Arias value sufficient to get one thing helpful in return? Or has Cleveland pickled themselves? |
| 3:42 |
| 3:42 | Guest: What are the probabilities that Semien strings collectively a Beltre-esque run of excellence by means of his 30s and places collectively a powerful HOF case? |
| 3:42 |
| 3:42 | Marshall: I simply appeared up Acuna’s stats, and his per-162 recreation averages are 38HR and 40SB. That’s fairly superior! |
| 3:42 |
| 3:43 | shortstop: Probably the one time Ortiz and Belanger have been in contrast for his or her offensive skills. |
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Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior author for FanGraphs, the creator of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame evaluation. He based the Futility Infielder web site (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing author for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring visitor on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe... and BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.
Content Source: blogs.fangraphs.com
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