NEWS AND OPINION:

Is there one thing particular or uncommon about those that voted for former President Donald Trump? Some ponder this phenomenon.

“Major pollsters in business and academia are once again beginning to get nervous about their ability to accurately predict the outcome of elections. And once again, the reason is the unpredictability and unreadability of Donald Trump voters,” wrote Rick Moran, a columnist for PJ Media, in an evaluation launched Sunday.

“Both 2016 and 2020 were disasters for the polling industry as the most respected pollsters badly undercounted Republican support and particularly, support for Donald Trump. The off-year elections of 2018 and 2022 didn’t have these kinds of problems. In fact, the 2022 midterm election had the most accurate polling in any election since 1998,” Mr. Moran says.

Things go “haywire” when Mr. Trump is a part of the equation, he advises.

“Far more than either political party lets on, voters are tribal in their electoral choices. Trump’s ‘tribe’ is still largely invisible to pollsters because they can’t figure out precisely who they are and, more importantly, where they are,” Mr. Moran continues.

“Pollsters are not in the business of reading minds, which makes polling a crap shoot these days. Having a perfect stranger contact you and ask for your opinion about sensitive political and personal subjects like abortion, transgenderism, and race is not going to elicit a lot of cooperation from subjects,” he stated.

“We should expect similar off-kilter results in 2024 and in the future until pollsters can dissect the Trump voter more accurately,” Mr. Moran predicted.

A RECOMMENDATION

The difficult scenario on the southern U.S. border grows ever extra sophisticated by the day as hundreds of migrants try to achieve American soil.

It’s sophisticated on the northern border as effectively.

Consider, for instance, a discover launched Friday by the U.S. Customs and Border Patrol from Caribou, Minn.

“The Kittson County Sheriff’s Office notified Border Patrol Agents assigned to the Pembina and Warroad Stations that they witnessed multiple people walking south from the international border with Canada. Officers also noticed two cars in the area and stopped the vehicles. Border Patrol Agents arrived shortly afterwards and discovered 20 people that had just crossed the border illegally,” the report stated.

“The group was comprised of 16 adult males, five adult females and one child with ages ranging from 3 to 43. All 20 of the migrants were determined to be citizens of Mexico and the two drivers were citizens of Guatemala,” it suggested.

There aren't any fast and simple cures to such advanced conditions. There are some terse advice for options on the market, although — like this one:

John Daniel Davidson, senior editorial for The Federalist, in a report launched Friday, suggested that “the only thing that will end the ongoing border crisis is to fix our asylum and immigration laws so they can’t be exploited by illegal immigrants making bogus asylum claims.”

“Programs like Title 42, or even the Trump administration’s Remain in Mexico policy, are stop-gaps at best. To secure the border, we’re going to need laws that mandate a secure border, which means closing the asylum loopholes, immediately deporting those who cross illegally, and building a really high wall,” Mr. Davidson famous.

700 CANDIDATES

Many folks pine to run for U.S. president.

“More than 700 presidential candidates have filed with the Federal Election Commission,” studies Ballotpedia.org — a useful on-line analysis group that has revealed the standards it makes use of to find out which candidates are each “noteworthy” and viable.

“Candidates have to meet at least one of the following criteria to be identified as noteworthy during the primary election,” the Ballotpedia report stated.

Candidates who maintain or previously held elected workplace as a member of Congress, governor, state govt, state legislator, or mayor of a metropolis with a inhabitants of 100,000 or extra are additionally thought of “noteworthy” — as are those that meet the polling standards for a minimum of one presidential main debate.

Candidates who've beforehand demonstrated the flexibility to file for 15 or extra main ballots are thought of noteworthy.

A candidate additionally should be capable to financially assist marketing campaign operations in a multi-state main.

Candidates who're notable public figures and obtain important quantities of media consideration as a candidate with an opportunity of affecting the result of the nominating contest additionally obtain the “noteworthy” designation.

WHO MADE THE LIST?

So who made the Ballotpedia checklist of “noteworthy” presidential candidates thus far?

Among Democrats, the roster consists of President Biden after all — together with environmental activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and writer Marianne Williamson.

The checklist of Republican noteworthy candidates embrace talk-radio host Larry Elder, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton, and former President Donald Trump.

Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina was additionally cited as a result of he shaped a presidential exploratory committee on April 12.

Mr. Scott, by the best way, has revealed he'll make a “major announcement on May 22” throughout an look at his alma mater — Charleston Southern University in North Charleston, South Carolina.

POLL DU JOUR

• 56% of U.S. adults say President Biden shouldn't run for reelection in 2024; 83% of Republicans, 64% of independents and 32% of Democrats agree.

• 54% of males and 58% of ladies additionally agree.

• 27% general say Mr. Biden ought to run for reelection in 2024; 13% of Republicans,17% of independents and 51% of Democrats agree.

• 31% of males and 24% of ladies additionally agree.

• 17% are usually not certain concerning the problem; 3% of Republicans, 19% of independents and 17% of Democrats agree.

• 15% of males and 19% of ladies additionally agree.

SOURCE: A Yahoo News ballot of 1,584 U.S. adults performed May 5-8.

• Follow Jennifer Harper on Twitter @HarperBulletin.

Content Source: www.washingtontimes.com